
POPULATION TRENDS
Poland is entering one of the most significant demographic transitions in its modern history. According to projections by Poland’s Central Statistical Office (GUS), the country’s population will continue to decline while its society grows progressively older. The resident population forecast for 2023–2060 predicts a decrease from approximately 37.4 million to 32.9 million inhabitants, while the number of people aged 80 and over is expected to more than double, rising from 1.6 million to 3.5 million.
This is far more than a statistical trend. A shrinking working-age population places increasing pressure on healthcare systems, pensions, public services, and the labour market. GUS estimates that the demographic dependency ratio could reach 96.3 by 2060, meaning there may be nearly one economically inactive person for every person of working age.
Mission Possible views demographic change as a matter of national resilience and security. Responsible public policy must address demographic trends in conjunction with energy, water resources, housing, healthcare, transportation, and local development. Only an integrated approach can ensure that communities remain resilient and prosperous in the decades ahead.
